Dry Calculator

OSRS Dry Calculator

1 / 512 · 0 KC

Inputs

Every kill is an independent 1/N roll. There is no pity timer and no “due” mechanic in OSRS.

Kills for a 50% chance

355KC

At 1 / 512

Add your kill count on the left to see exactly how unlucky your streak is.

Chance of at least one, by kill count

90%50%
0 KC2,356 KC

Kill count milestones

50% chance

355 KC

90% chance

1,178 KC

95% chance

1,533 KC

99% chance

2,356 KC

Learn more

How it works

Enter a 1/N drop rate and your kill count. The result is a binomial model: independent rolls, no pity.

Percentile dryness is the chance of zero drops by that KC — the share of players who are at least as dry as you.

Important mechanics

  • P(at least one) = 1 − (1 − p)^kills. KC for 90% is the smallest n with that probability.
  • Raid unique systems that are not independent Bernoulli trials need a different p. Do not force them into 1/N if the wiki describes a unique pool.

Frequently asked

Does this mean I am due?

No. Independent rolls have no memory. A dry streak does not raise the next kill's chance.

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